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Love Conquers All: Our Real Market Expectations For The Next Year

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Sometimes pictures speak louder than words!

Treasury Yields: An Historical Perspective

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  The Dream Team The changing of the guard in political arenas is always an entertaining show. This time around, there are some very seasoned and knowledgeable characters in the cast. 2020 threw us one of the biggest curveballs ever in the form of a healthcare crisis that spans the planet and has potentially devastating repercussions. Jerome Powell is the Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee. His hand has been on the "tiller" of the FOMC since 2017. Janet Yellen is the new Treasury Secretary. She is the former Chair of the FOMC  from 2014 to 2017. Anthony Fauci, MD is the chief medical advisor to President Joe Biden. These three individuals 1  are a small subset of the team assembled to help us combat the evolution of COVID-19 and the unique financial challenges to our economy and capital markets. Their education, experience, and perspective will give us the best chance of putting this pandemic behind us and returning our economy to a new growth phase. Yield Or Pric...

New Year: Same Old Resolutions?

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The turn of the calendar year is often a time of reflection and planning. The transition from 2020 to 2021 has special meaning for many of us who fell sick, lost a job, or - worse still - lost a loved one. Today is a new day with renewed hope for our collective future and I, for one, am optimistic for a better "climate" in the coming months. Why Make Resolutions? A whopping 80% of New Year's resolutions fail according to an article published in Forbes 1  in late 2019. It appears that the odds are stacked against us humans as we make a list, check it twice, and then find out if we are naughty or nice. But, it makes us feel good to write things down and plan them out for our annual goals. These goals (perhaps) keep us from falling deeper into mediocrity by reminding us that we CAN do better. But, WILL we? What Are The Top 10? In a November 2020 survey of 531 US adults, Statista 2  found that 4 of the top 5 resolutions for 2021 focus on better physical and mental health. Thi...

Market Outlook: 2021 And Beyond!

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  Market Review The S&P 500 (as represented by the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF - or IVV) generated a gain of +11.70% during 2020Q4. This was eclipsed by gains of +24.02% for US mid caps (IJH) and +30.86% for US small caps (IJR). Overseas the story was also peaches and cream with developed stocks (EFA) posting an +14.63% return and emerging stocks (EEM) delivering an impressive +17.19% result. Things were a little less rosy on the bond side of the table. The short, intermediate, and long Treasury indices posted quarterly returns of -0.15%, -1.54%, and -3.39% respectively. Dipping down the credit spectrum, investment grade bonds (LQD) returned +2.54% while high yield bonds (HYG) returned 4.05%. It is helpful to remember that the annual correlation between stocks and bonds is on average negative - meaning that they tend to move in slightly opposite directions over time. Quarterly Projects JQR Capital is committed to providing you with the best service for your fee dollar. There a...